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You are here: Home » Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing : Example and Analysis

By Abhishek Ghosh February 18, 2013 2:01 am Updated on February 18, 2013

Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing : Example and Analysis

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Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing out of the desperate try to branding own company or to show off that the brand is who creates the science. There are many examples of such Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing all over the web, here are some examples.

 

Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing : Why the Part of Analysis ?

 

We are giving some hilarious examples of Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing to show that these persons were not fully wrong. They, mostly of the bigger brands, it is a kind of good lesson to read these Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing to understand the fact – predictions does not exist except in few subjects where direct mathematical formula can be applied. As a human, we also try to predict – usually at home or within a friend circle. These analysis will give us some points for our own karma !

 

Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing : Example and Analysis

 

Possibly the worst predictions are done by Bill Gates. The reason is Microsoft’s aggressive mentality to invade, it is noteworthy that no Free Software Development team or Open Source has any remarkable bad predictions.

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">A rocket will never be able to leave the Earth™s atmosphere.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- New York Times, 1936</span>

 

A newspaper can not speak or get printed of its own, but definitely New York Times wanted to say something that stands out over the rest of the crowd.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. </span>
<span style="color: #ff0000;">It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Albert Einstein, 1932</span>

 

Albert Einstein was a theorist. Definitely his calculations were quite important in science, still date and valid. But it is matter of fact, Albert Einstein has many theories, many hypothesis, many quotes which are not right today. He basically violated his own quote. It is better to say less. A wrong hypothesis never becomes a matter of fun, if proved to be wrong, but a saying does.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">There is no reason for any individual to have a computer in his home.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Ken Olsen, founder of Digital Equipment Corp. In 1977</span>

 

The meaning with dual sense is not actually wrong as he used a bit roundabout way to say one straightforward saying. Possibly we should follow this way to express opinion to avoid being labeled as fully wrong. Basically he wanted to say, computer in the way we are using today, would not happened. But by dual meaning, it is still right.
Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">We will never make a 32-bit operating system.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Bill Gates, 1989</span>

 

By this time, Bill Gates understood, that it is never possible for the original Windows OS (developed from 1.0a) can never meet the expectation of the ongoing improvement of hardware, specially processor. Yes, he said the right. Windows was emulating 32 bit still it was Windows NT. This is the basic reason why Windows 95, Windows 98 hanged so much. They ran on emulation by doubling the bit. That original Windows never make a 32-bit operating system. Microsoft practically stolen the man from a server Operating System named OpenVMS. Whole OpenVMS was coned (including the wallpapers, see the screenshot at that linked webpage), Windows finally became a real 32 bit Operating System from Windows NT, which was for server; gradually became desktop operating system. Microsoft later unofficially deliberately tried to show as bad quote because, Bill Gates actually said the too much right.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. </span>
<span style="color: #ff0000;">The device is inherently of no value to us.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Internal memo from Western Union from 1876.</span>

 

From business point of view, Western Union was right for that year or next 5 years. It has shortcomings, we actually have no other way but to use it.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">Fooling around with alternating current is just a waste of time. Nobody will use it, ever.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Thomas Edison, American inventor, 1889</span>

 

Basically he wanted to oppose George Westinghouse. It is always quoted without the sentence before and after. No component uses AC, AC is converted to DC. He was 100% right. We use for delivery, safety etc. purposes. Technically he was right.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons,</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps weigh only 1.5 tons.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Popular Mechanics, March 1949</span>

 

Actually it was in context of mainframe computers. It is actually still some what right.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">Within five years tablet PC's will be the most popular form of PC sold in America.</span>

 

If the person said was given importance by the others, Microsoft would never have to face this real truth – the competitors are iOS and Android today. Apple and Others. The quote was by Bill Gates in 2002.

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">Apple is already dead. </span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Nathan Myhrvold, former Microsoft CTO, 1997</span>

 

Which iPhone, Nathan Myhrvold ? Actually Microsoft always try to show they are the leaders. They basically exploited the market. This is one of the megalomaniac comment by Microsoft. Not only in PC market, Microsoft is going sinking on all efforts – be it private cloud (Azure’s lead is the same person, who stolen and converted OpenVMS to Windows NT).

 

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">No one will need more than 637 kb of memory for a personal computer.</span>

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<span style="color: #ff0000;">- Bill Gates, 1981</span>

 

The architectural limitation imposed by IBM. It was actually right. People love to joke about Bill Gates and his Micro-Soft, so it became famous.

 

Abhishek-Ghosh

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Abhishek Ghosh

About Abhishek Ghosh

Abhishek Ghosh is a Businessman, Surgeon, Author and Blogger. You can keep touch with him on Twitter - @AbhishekCTRL.

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About This Article

Cite this article as: Abhishek Ghosh, "Worst Predictions for Technology and Computing : Example and Analysis," in The Customize Windows, February 18, 2013, July 1, 2022, https://thecustomizewindows.com/2013/02/worst-predictions-for-technology-and-computing-example-and-analysis/.

Source:The Customize Windows, JiMA.in

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